NBA DFS Picks: November 4 (DraftKings FanDuel)
We have six games on the slate tonight with three of those games projected to be over 230 points. The biggest question I have right now is can Houston bounce back from their collapse last night and compete against the high-pace Grizzlies without Russell Westbrook? Chalk Harden anyone? Let’s get to it – here are our NBA DFS Picks for November 4.
It’s a Stars and Scrubs kinda day. With the amount of value on the slate you can throw in 4-5 value pieces (Brown Jr., Brandon Clarke, Josh Richardson are my fav’s) and build around Harden, Kyrie + Drummond/Giannis/Beal. This is the new norm in the NBA.
THE STARTING FIVE
Easily the top play tonight is James Harden. Westbrook gets the night off so Harden’s already astronomical usage is set to increase even further. I’m not going to waste our time talking about how obvious of a play he is so here is who else you should roster:
Kyrie Irving – BKN v no (FD$9,700|DK$9,500)
Coin toss between Kyrie and Drummond. I’ll take the salary savings and go with Kyrie at home against a team giving up the most Fpoints to PG’s this season. Kyrie has the 5th highest usage rate in the league and carries the potential to 8x this price tag (he dropped 76DKPts game 1). He’s coming off a triple-double where he scored a season low 20 Points, shooting 38% including 0-6 from 3Pt. Those shooting numbers should increase against the Pelicans and at the salary he simply fits into what I’m trying to build with my lineups. He’s a strong play.
Al Horford – PHI @ pho (FD$7,500|DK$6,900)
Josh Richardson – PHI @ pho (FD$6,100|DK$4,600)
Embiid is serving his last game of his suspension so we’ll get another game of heightened production from these two. Richardon’s price is criminal on DK and will probably 7x (he did last game with a 17/6/5 line). Horford had the best game out of the 76ers last game (firing 24 shots with a 32% usage rate) and will bully Baynes throughout the night. There is a lot of meat on the bone at these prices and I’ll be rostering them.
Danuel House Jr – HOU @ mem (FD$5,100|DK$4,500)
Eric Gordon – HOU @ mem (FD$3,900|DK$4,000)
I’m not thrilled with either of these plays but Westbrook’s usage and 15+ shots/game have to go somewhere. These two should draw the start and should see the bulk of the minutes. PJ Tucker is also a great play but his usage doesn’t change much with Westbrook off the court and doesn’t have as high of a ceiling. Chris Clemons and Austin Rivers will also see their minutes increase as well but I’ll take the people who will have the highest minutes. It should be a high scoring game against Memphis that plays at the second-fastest pace so you’ll want some of these pieces as there is a great 7x chance here.
There is an absolutely TON of value on tonight’s slate. If Ingram is out then Hart and Ball are great plays. If Favors is out then Okafor is a great play. There is value to be had on Golden State still so you can grab some Paschall and Robinson there. Isaiah Thomas is absolutely crushing it and has yet to see his salary reflect his production. Bruce Brown Jr destroyed the slate in his spot start at PG a few days ago and will get the start again tonight (he’s pretty much a lock for me tonight at this point against the Wizards). That’s about 12 quality value plays at your disposal tonight. I will have about 3-4 of these in my lineups and go with a hard Stars and Scrubs construction (Richardson, 1-2 Rockets, Brown Jr. are the best best’s right now).
MAIN PLAYER POOL:
James Harden (CORE)
Kyrie Irving (CORE)
Lonzo Ball (if Ingram is out)
Josh Hart (if Ingram is out)
Josh Richardson (CORE)
Bruce Brown Jr.
Brandon Ingram (if playing)
Al Horford (CORE)
Glenn Robinson III
Danuel House Jr.
Jahlil Okafor (if Favors is out)
We will have you covered for every day of the NBA season with our top picks derived from our projection model that we’ve perfected over the years. Make sure you also check our Strategy section HERE to guide you with your lineup construction.
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